Category Archives: climate change

The Next Grand Solar Minimum Has Very Likely Begun: NASA Predicts Lowest Solar Cycle In 200 Years (video)

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Finally, it looks as if the GSM is on.

First, this is not a 100% conformation that the Next Grand Solar Minimum has already begun, even though the data strongly indicates that the trends will continue according to the models of Zharkova et al, 2015, Ole Humlum 2011 John Casey and many others. The different models vary in duration. (see details in the introduction to the next Grand Solar Minimum.)

On June 12, 2019 NASA announced:

Solar Activity Forecast for Next Decade Favorable for Exploration

“The forecast for the next solar cycle says it will be the weakest of the last 200 years. The maximum of this next cycle – measured in terms of sunspot number, a standard measure of solar activity level – could be 30 to 50% lower than the most recent one. The results show that the next cycle will start in 2020 and reach its maximum in 2025.”

The beginning of a Grand Solar Minimum can only be definitely declared after several very low solar cycles (11- year-cycles or Schwabe cycles). A decline of 30- 50% in sunspot numbers already brings us to Dalton Minimum levels.

It must also be said that the Dalton Minimum itself is by some astronomers declared to have been only an incomplete Grand Solar Minimum . (Usoskin et al, 2011,) [iii]

Compare the current state of the sun to the Dalton Minimum conditions. Here, I added a sketch of the NASA projection to the end of the solar cycle progression of the last 400 years.

This graph compares the current solar progression to that of the Dalton Minimum. Original Graph by Anthony Watts / December 20, 2010. I added the recorded Solar Cycle 24 (green) and the NASA projection of solar cycle 25 (black dotted line). The similarities are striking.

https://abruptearthchanges.files.wordpress.com/2019/06/dalton-minimum-vs.-today-_fig9-1.png

“The Dalton Minimum was a period of low solar activity, named after the English meteorologist John Dalton, lasting from about 1790 to 1830.[1] Like the Maunder Minimum and Spörer Minimum, the Dalton Minimum coincided with a period of lower-than-average global temperatures. The Oberlach Station in Germany, for example, experienced a 2.0°C decline over 20 years.[2] The Year Without a Summer, in 1816, also occurred during the Dalton Minimum. Solar cycles 5 and 6, as shown below, were greatly reduced in amplitude.” Antony Watts.

Source: by Sacha Dobler | Abrupt Earth Changes

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The U.S. just witnessed its 12 wettest months in 125 years, and the floods keep coming – WaPo

German Study shows Changes in Precipitation over Europe linked to Solar Activity

Solar History, Chapter 22:  Presence and Future of Human Behavior in relation to  solar cycles

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“At First We Didn’t Believe It”: Fast-Melting Greenland Glacier Starts Growing Again In Massive U-Turn

A large and fast-melting glacier in Greenland is growing again, according to a new NASA study. The Jakobshavn (YA-cob-shawv-en) glacier on Greenland’s west coast had reportedly been retreating by around 1.8 miles and thinning by nearly 130 feet annually in 2012.

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May 30, 2012, photo shows an iceberg in or just outside the Ilulissat fjord that likely calved from the Jakobshavnglacier in west Greenland. (Ian Joughin/Associated Press)

According to a study published in Monday’s peer-reviewed Nature Geoscience, however, the glacier began growing at about the same rate over the past two years. That said, the authors of the study swear it’s temporary. 

“At first we didn’t believe it,” said lead author Ala Khazendar who works at NASA’s Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL). “We had pretty much assumed that Jakobshavn would just keep going on as it had over the last 20 years.”

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/glacier.png?itok=n9MVzfGL

Jakobshavn glacier (photo: Google Earth)

Co-author Josh Willis said that while this is “good news” on a temporary basis, it’s still “bad news” over the long term because it means that ocean temperatures are a larger factor in the growth and melting of glaciers than previously thought. 

“In the long run we’ll probably have to raise our predictions of sea level rise again,” says Willis, pointing to inevitable doom from man-made global warming. 

“That was kind of a surprise. We kind of got used to a runaway system,” said Jason Box, a Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland ice and climate scientist who was not involved in the study. 

Think of the ocean temperatures near Greenland like an escalator that’s rising slowly from global warming, Khazendar said. But the natural North Atlantic Oscillation sometimes is like jumping down a few steps or jumping up a few steps. The water can get cooler and have effects, but in the long run it is getting warmer and the melting will be worse, he said.

Four outside scientists said the study and results make sense.

University of Washington ice scientist Ian Joughin, who wasn’t part of the study and predicted such a change seven years ago, said it would be a “grave mistake” to interpret the latest data as contradicting climate change science.

What’s happening, Joughin said, is “to a large extent, a temporary blip. Downturns do occur in the stock market, but overall the long term trajectory is up. This is really the same thing.” –AP

Of course, what will they say if and when the sun enters a Maunder Minimum in 2020? The last time there was a prolonged solar minimum, it lead to a mini ice-age which was scientifically known as the Maunder minimum

SHTFplan.com’s Mac Slavo wrote last November that sunspots have been absent for most of 2018 and Earth’s upper atmosphere is responding, says Phillips, the editor of spaceweather.com

Data from NASA’s TIMED (Thermosphere Ionosphere Mesosphere Energetics and Dynamics) satellite shows that the thermosphere (the uppermost layer of air around our planet) is cooling and shrinking, literally decreasing the radius of the atmosphere. This reduction of solar activity could result in a global cooling phase. 

“The thermosphere always cools off during Solar Minimum. It’s one of the most important ways the solar cycle affects our planet,” said Mlynczakaccording to The New American.

The new NASA findings are in line with studies released by UC-San Diego and Northumbria University in Great Britain last year, both of which predict a Grand Solar Minimum in coming decades due to low sunspot activity.

https://www.zerohedge.com/s3/files/inline-images/Sunspot_Numbers_0.png?itok=Db0Umeeh

Both studies predicted sun activity similar to the Maunder Minimum of the mid-17th to early 18th centuries, which coincided to a time known as the Little Ice Age, during which temperatures were much lower than those of today.

Source: ZeroHedge

Global Warming Goodness Slays Drought In South West

A Strong Start to Sierra Snowpack

https://eoimages.gsfc.nasa.gov/images/imagerecords/144000/144552/sierra_tmo_2019042.jpgFebruary 15, 2018 – February 11, 2019

In Spanish, Sierra Nevada means “snowy mountain range.” During the past few months, the range has certainly lived up to its name. After a dry spell in December, a succession of storms in January and February 2019 blanketed the range.

In many areas, snow reports have been coming in feet not inches. Back-to-back storms in February dropped eleven feet (3 meters) of snow on Mammoth Mountain—enough to make it the snowiest ski resort in the United States. More than 37 feet (11 meters) have fallen at the resort since the beginning of winter, and meteorologists are forecasting that yet another storm will bring snow this week.

The Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) acquired these natural-color images of the Sierra Nevada on February 11, 2019, and February 15, 2018. In addition to the much more extensive snow cover in 2019, notice the greener landscape on the western slopes of the range.

Statistics complied by the California Department of Water Resources indicate that the mountain range had a snow water equivalent that was 146 percent of normal as of February 19, 2019. It was just 44 percent of normal on Thanksgiving 2018. Last season, on February 15, 2018, snow cover was at a mere 21 percent of normal.

Some of the snow has come courtesy of atmospheric rivers, a type of storm system known for transporting narrow, low-level plumes of moisture across long ocean distances and dumping tremendous amounts of precipitation on land.

The condition of Sierra Nevada snowpack has consequences that go well beyond ski season. Spring and summer melt from the Sierra Nevada plays a crucial role in recharging California’s reservoirs. Though conditions could change, California drought watchers are cautiously optimistic that the boost to the snowpack will insulate the state from drought this summer.

The reservoirs are already in pretty good shape. Cal Water data show that most of the reservoirs are already more than half-full, and several have water levels that are above the historical average for the middle of February.

NASA Earth Observatory images by Joshua Stevens, using MODIS data from NASA EOSDIS/LANCE and GIBS/Worldview. Story by Adam Voiland.

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https://i.giphy.com/media/Ve3vaOhN6NxTO/giphy.webp

Major CA Resivor Levels
http://cdec.water.ca.gov/resapp/RescondMain

Daily Snow Sensor Report
http://cdec.water.ca.gov/reportapp/javareports?name=PAGE6

 

When Socialists Decide It’s Time To Prepare For Hard Times… LOOK OUT!

People robbed of Canada Goose coats at gunpoint in Chicago

Chicago police are reporting gunpoint robberies targeting people wearing pricey Canada Goose jackets as temperatures plunge in the city.

Over the past two weeks, police say there’s been a spate of the thefts in which people wearing the luxury coats have been targeted and forced to give up the jackets. The coats can cost upward of $1,000 and are often seen on celebrities.

Six people had their Canada Goose coats stolen last week and two more were targeted Wednesday.

Police say two men jumped from a Mercedes, showed a gun and punched a 54-year-old man before forcibly taking his coat and wallet Wednesday. The same night, two men showed a gun to a 23-year-old man walking with a friend and demanded his Canada Goose coat.

Surveillance footage showed a man being robbed of his coat, the Washington Post reported.

No one has been arrested in connection with the robberies.

The coats retail from $500 to $1,200, according to its website. The most expensive coat on the site currently costs $1,695. The popular jackets are recognizable by a patch on the coat’s arm that says “Canada Goose Arctic Program.” The jackets have been seen on a number of celebrities including rapper Drake and model Kate Upton.

Source: Fox5NY

Harvard Study Shows Oceans Are Getting Colder

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(Armstrong Economics) This winter, 2019 is once again extremely brutal in Europe. Exceptionally heavy snow has fallen as far south as Greece in the range of even 3 to 5 feet in various places. This is the third year of extreme cold in Europe which has been fueling more resentment about global warming taxes. Once again, Europe has been thrown into economic chaos for much of the region is not able to cope with snow lacking the historical experience. In places like Germany, the jet stream exaggerations have cause exceptionally hot summers, though shorter in duration, where hotels and houses never bothered installing air conditioning. This is the typical pattern that is serious for it also precedes droughts.

Meanwhile, scientists have revealed that the oceans are still getting colder at deeper levels in a slow-moving trend that was set in motion by the last Little Ice Age. The idea that the oceans have been retaining the heat so that is why the planet has not warmed up as forecast 30 years ago flies in the face of those ideas as well.


The ‘Little Ice Age’ hundreds of years ago is STILL cooling the bottom of Pacific, researchers find

  • The Little Ice Age brought colder-than-average temps around the 17th century
  • Researchers say temperatures in deep Pacific lag behind those at the surface
  • As a result, parts of the deep Pacific is now cooling from long ago Little Ice Age

As much of the ocean responds to the rising temperatures of today’s world, the deep, dark waters at the bottom of the Pacific Ocean appear to be doing the exact opposite.

A Harvard study has found that parts of the deep Pacific may be getting cooler as the result of a climate phenomenon that occurred hundreds of years ago.

Around the 17th century, Earth experienced a prolonged cooling period dubbed the Little Ice Age that brought chillier-than-average temperatures to much of the Northern Hemisphere.

Though it’s been centuries since this all played out, researchers say the deep Pacific appears to lag behind the waters closer to the surface, and is still responding to the Little Ice Age.

https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2019/01/04/18/8135376-6558285-image-a-18_1546625203152.jpgA Harvard study has found that parts of the deep Pacific may be getting cooler as the result of a climate phenomenon that occurred hundreds of years ago. The models suggest In the deep temperatures are dropping at a depth of around 2 kilometers (1.2 miles)

‘Climate varies across all timescales,’ said Peter Huybers, a professor at the Harvard John A. Paulson School of Engineering and Applied Sciences.

‘Some regional warming and cooling patterns, like the Little Ice Age and Medieval Warm Period, are well known.

‘Our goal was to develop a model of how the interior properties of the ocean respond to changes in surface climate.’

The Medieval Warm Period was a period lasting between the 9th and 12th centuries during which Earth’s climate leaned on the warmer side.

It was followed not long after by the Little Ice Age, which lasted from the 16th through 19th century, though some argue it began even earlier.

According to researchers from the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution and Harvard University, this long-ago cooling period could still be showing its face in the temperatures of the deep ocean.

‘If the surface ocean was generally cooling for the better part of the last millennium, those parts of the ocean most isolated from modern warming may still be cooling,’ said Jake Gebbie, a physical oceanographer at Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution.

To test this, the team compared measurements taken during the 1870s by scientists on the HMS Challenger to modern data.

During the study in the late 1800s, the researchers of the time dropped thermometers deep down into the ocean between 1872 and 1876, collecting more than 5,000 measurements in total.

https://i.dailymail.co.uk/1s/2019/01/04/18/8135380-6558285-image-a-19_1546625239394.jpgAround the 17th century, Earth experienced a prolonged cooling period dubbed the Little Ice Age that brought chillier-than-average temperatures to much of the Northern Hemisphere

‘We screened this historical data for outliers and considered a variety of corrections associated with pressure effects on the thermometer and stretching of the hemp rope used for lowering thermometers,’ Huybers said.

As expected, the comparisons showed most of the world’s oceans has been warming up over the last century.

In the deep Pacific Ocean, however, temperatures are dropping. This effect could be seen at a depth of around 2 kilometers (1.2 miles).

According to the team, this could influence our understanding of how much heat the ocean has absorbed in the last century, suggesting it could be as much as 30 percent less than previously assumed.

Their findings are published in a new paper in the journal Science.

‘The close correspondence between the predictions and observed trends gave us confidence that this is a real phenomenon,’ Gebbie said.

‘Part of the heat needed to bring the ocean into equilibrium with an atmosphere having more greenhouse gases was apparently already present in the deep Pacific,’ Huybers said.

‘These findings increase the impetus for understanding the causes of the Medieval Warm Period and Little Ice Age as a way for better understanding modern warming trends.’

Source: Cheyenne Macdonald For Dailymail.com

 

Conclusive Images California Is Under Attack by DEWs

Weapons are always created to be used…

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DEW Lasers Confirmed Again. House Chopped in Half

Are SMART Meters Being Used To Implode Buildings in California During Firestorms?

CALIFORNIA FIRESTORMS: Who’s geoengineering the statewide conflagration and why?

CALIFORNIA FIRESTORMS GEOENGINEERED: Here’s why and who’s doing it

https://aim4truthblog.files.wordpress.com/2018/11/forest-management-branco.jpg

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Now here’s another link dedicated to suspicious vehicle burn-outs:
http://themillenniumreport.com/2018/11/how-did-these-vehicles-burn-up-in-the-cali-fires-when-trees-nearby-remain-untouched/

Source: http://themillenniumreport.com/2018/11/conclusive-photographic-evidence-proving-california-is-under-attack-by-dews/

 

‘Father of Global Warming’ Scientist Finally Admits Theory Was A Scam

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The scientist widely known as the “Father of Global Warming” has admitted for the first time that data used to promote his climate change theory was false and fradulently manipulated by Al Gore to suit an agenda. 

In 1986 the former NASA scientist, James Hansen, testified to Congress during a hearing on global warming organized by then-Congressman Al Gore to produce scientific models based on a number of different scenarios that could impact the planet.

According to Hansen, Al Gore took the data provided in a “worst-case scenario” and intentionally twisted it, rebranding it as “Global Warming,” making tens of millions of dollars in the process.

The model was titled “Scenario B” and was one of many provided to Congress by Hansen, however it left out significant factors meaning it didn’t reflect real-world conditions. This didn’t stop Al Gore and climate alarmists using the data to mislead millions of people all over the world.

However a new study that compares real-world data to the original Scenario B model — finding no correlation — has received Hansen’s backing, with the “Father of global warming” admitting he is “devastated” by the way his data has been used by climate alarmists.

Real World data shows “the science is not settled”

The dire climate prediction that was taken from Hansen’s data model “significantly overstates the warming” observed in the real world since the 1980s, according to the new analysis.

https://cdns.yournewswire.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/07/scientist-global-warming-theory-false-data-34718.jpgDr. Ross McKitrick, known as the ‘Father of Global Warming’, says real world data shows no global warming has occured.

Western Journal reports: Economist Ross McKitrick and climate scientist John Christy found observed warming trends match the low end of what Hansen told Congress during a hearing on global warming organized by then-Congressman Al Gore.

“Climate modelers will object that this explanation doesn’t fit the theories about climate change,” the two wrote.

“But those were the theories Hansen used, and they don’t fit the data.

“The bottom line is, climate science as encoded in the models is far from settled.”

Cato Institute climate scientists Patrick Michaels and Ryan Maue wrote that “surface temperatures are behaving as if we had capped 18 years ago the carbon-dioxide emissions responsible for the enhanced greenhouse effect.”

“But we didn’t. And it isn’t just Mr. Hansen who got it wrong,” Michaels and Maue wrote in The Wall Street Journal in June.

The WSJ op-ed set off a fierce debate over the accuracy of Hansen’s predictions.

Several media reports interviewing climate scientists claimed Hansen’s predictions — issued in 1988 — were pretty much correct.

Hansen’s dire global warming predictions turned 30 this year, sparking fawning media coverage of their accuracy.

The so-called “godfather” of global warming even told The Associated Press “I don’t want to be right in that sense.”

Some scientists moved the goalposts and argued even though Hansen’s temperature predictions were off, he got the radiative forcing from greenhouse gas emissions correct.

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However, McKitrick and Christy’s analysis takes into account such objections, pointing out that Hansen’s prediction of carbon dioxide emissions was actually close to what was observed — there just wasn’t much warming.

It turns out Hansen’s worst-case scenario projection of global warming, known as Scenario B, only takes carbon dioxide emissions into account, but still showed too much warming, McKitrick and Christy wrote.

“What really matters is the trend over the forecast interval, and this is where the problems become visible,” McKitrick and Christy wrote.

Hansen’s conclusion, they wrote, “significantly overstates the warming.”

https://reclaimourrepublic.files.wordpress.com/2016/05/gore-climate-warm.jpg?w=600&zoom=2

Source: New World Order Report